Committee
Net Zero, Energy and Transport Committee 03 March 2026 [Draft]
03 Mar 2026 · S6 · Net Zero, Energy and Transport Committee
Item of business
Draft Climate Change Plan
Emma Pinchbeck
Watch on SPTV
I will give a high-level answer, and then I will bring in Dr Emily Nurse, who I think would like to talk to you about indicators.In general, we think that there are good plans and policies in place for the first carbon budget period, as I have said. That covers the period from now until around 2030. However, there are less good policies and plans beyond that. In particular, we are concerned about plans and policies for heat decarbonisation, because it seems to us that there is not very much action, or any action, or policies or plans in the draft CCP for a period of around a decade of delivery, with an assumption that there will then be a rapid roll-out.Heat accounts for a significant portion of Scotland’s emissions, so that is an area of real concern. We have separate concerns about agriculture, for similar reasons. As you might know, in contrast to the advice that we gave the Scottish Government, it has decided to do less on agriculture and livestock emissions and to make that up, in the CCP, through faster deployment of negative emissions technology than we recommended in the advice that we offered. That is entirely in the Scottish Government’s gift. We said that that difference of approach was fine, but that we would need to see evidence of how that faster deployment would be delivered. There are critical risks around negative emissions technology, so there should be clear delivery plans in that area, as well as a more detailed understanding of the plans for agriculture, in the absence of thinking about livestock.We are also concerned—we flag this up in our progress report—about the fact that there has been a significant change in tree-planting rates, because of changes to forestry grant schemes. From record levels, tree-planting rates have fallen off a cliff. The rates of tree planting will need to pick up if we are to deliver the UK-wide carbon budget, where Scotland has a big proportion of tree planting, and the carbon budget for Scotland itself. Those are some areas of concern.As for what, technically, we would like to see in the CCP to be sure about delivery and to be able to offer you best evidence, I will bring in Dr Emily Nurse to talk to you about indicators and some of the methods in the CCP.
In the same item of business
The Convener
Con
Welcome back. The next agenda item is an evidence session with the Climate Change Committee on the Scottish Government’s draft climate change plan. The purpo...
Emma Pinchbeck (Climate Change Committee)
To start with the good news, we find that Scotland’s emissions decreased by more than 2.6 per cent between 2021 and 2023. Overall emissions have now more tha...
The Convener
Con
Thank you. We will move to questions. Given that part of the questioning will definitely revolve around agriculture, I remind members of my entry in the regi...
Emma Pinchbeck
The committee will know that, because of delays to the CCP, we were delayed in being able to do the analysis behind producing our own response to the CCP and...
The Convener
Con
My concern is that we will go into recess shortly and the final climate change plan is still to be laid. Unless I have got this entirely wrong, the whole pro...
Emma Pinchbeck
I certainly understand that it would be useful for you to have our report when you do your scrutiny. You will know this, but I put on the record that there i...
The Convener
Con
The draft plan has been laid and the consultations have been summarised, and our report will be considered and debated by the Parliament on Thursday this wee...
Emma Pinchbeck
We will never do a public hearing if we have not finished our analysis. That precedent is long established in the work of the CCC. As a statutory body, we ca...
The Convener
Con
Before we leave the subject, Emma, please clarify something so that I can understand. Did the Scottish Government, as your client, tell you to give us only a...
Emma Pinchbeck
We did not get an explicit instruction to come and speak to you publicly. There was discussion with officials about what we could do on both sides and it was...
The Convener
Con
Are you telling me that Scottish Government officials said that a private briefing was the appropriate way to do it? I am sorry for pushing you on that, but ...
Emma Pinchbeck
I am the chief executive of the CCC and, in a conversation with the Scottish Government, we determined that a private briefing would be the appropriate thing...
The Convener
Con
Thank you; that is helpful.Bob Doris wants to come in.
Bob Doris (Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn) (SNP)
SNP
I will ask a question for clarity, in the hope that we can quickly move on to more substantive issues. I want to check that I am accurate in understanding th...
Emma Pinchbeck
Independence is a significant factor in evaluating choices such as this one about the appropriateness of not having a public evidence session on the basis of...
Bob Doris
SNP
:That was helpful—thank you.
The Convener
Con
Just to finish that point, before we move on to the next question: as the Government made clear, it is your client, and it therefore controlled that informat...
Mark Ruskell
Green
:I want to turn to the climate change plan itself. You will probably have had a chance to glance at the report that we published last week, in which we highl...
Emma Pinchbeck
I will give a high-level answer, and then I will bring in Dr Emily Nurse, who I think would like to talk to you about indicators.In general, we think that th...
Dr Emily Nurse (Climate Change Committee)
Thank you very much for having me here today.There are a few more things to say at the higher level. First, the climate change plan is more of an overarching...
Mark Ruskell
Green
:There are certainly a lot of hockey-stick-shaped graphs in the plan, by which I mean periods of slow growth followed by sudden shoot-ups in future carbon bu...
Dr Nurse
I will quickly say something about that, and then Emma Pinchbeck will come in. In our annual progress report, we look at that as best we possibly can. We loo...
Emma Pinchbeck
Thank you. I read the NZET Committee’s report on the CCP and noted that witnesses had suggested a sort of dashboard for indicators and that that is being tho...
Mark Ruskell
Green
:Do you have the resources to do that? If there was stronger engagement between the Climate Change Committee and subject committees in this Parliament—perhap...
Emma Pinchbeck
It would. Bluntly, our devolved funding does not really cover the statutory outputs that we already deliver across Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. We m...
Sarah Boyack
Lab
:I will ask a couple of questions that follow on from quite a lot of what you have just been talking about. Our committee and the Climate Change Committee we...
Emma Pinchbeck
I will provide an overview and I will then hand over to Emily, because there are quite significant differences in how we think about costs, and it will be wo...
Dr Nurse
You have covered most of it, Emma. We were quite confused by how the analysis was done on the costing side. It is clear that some bits are missed out, and it...
Sarah Boyack
Lab
:Thanks—that is useful. The challenge is going from very detailed information to actually communicating this stuff. You have talked about the invest-to-save ...
Dr Nurse
First, we need to have annual data. It makes sense to publish five-yearly carbon budgets because that is the legal target, but the pathway is indicative, rat...