Health, Social Care and Sport Committee 04 November 2025
I thank Jeremy Balfour for that, and for clarification that amendment 143 is more of a probing amendment. As I say, it is important that we have this discussion, because it is a live debate. As I will touch on shortly, similar prognosis periods are applied in other jurisdictions.
Although a prognosis period of six months was initially proposed for the Social Security (Scotland) Act 2018, Parliament’s view was that, because of the practical difficulties with that, it would be more appropriate to set no timeframe.
Many who gave evidence to the committee at stage 1 took that view, noting how difficult it can be for a professional to estimate with any confidence how long a terminally ill patient has to live. That will depend on the condition. The committee’s stage 1 report concluded:
“on balance, the Committee recognises the rationale ... for not including a prognostic timescale in the definition of terminal illness set out in the Bill and for arguing that it is ultimately better to leave determination of whether or not an individual meets that specific eligibility criterion to clinical judgement.”