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Chamber

Meeting of the Parliament 14 June 2017

14 Jun 2017 · S5 · Meeting of the Parliament
Item of business
Scotland’s Economy (Opportunities for Growth)

Thank you very much—I will do that.

Our best interests are served by remaining in the EU. However, close observers might have noticed that the Liberal Democrats did not win the election, either. We are constructive and reasonable people who will work with others on a new plan that gets all the benefits of a close relationship with our European partners, even if that relationship is not what I would ultimately want. That is reasonable and pragmatic.

It is not reasonable and pragmatic to use Brexit for the sole purpose of winning independence. Brexit is the latest excuse from the SNP in its relentless independence campaign. It is absurd that the SNP seeks to use Europe to get an independence referendum that cannot guarantee European Union membership in return. We could end up not just being outside the UK but being outside Europe. We would certainly be isolated then.

The voters are not buying it. If the election failed to endorse Theresa May’s plan for Brexit, it certainly failed to endorse Nicola Sturgeon’s plan for independence. The loss of big political creatures such as the SNP’s former leader Alex Salmond and its former Westminster leader Angus Robertson requires an appropriate response. To carry on regardless would be failing to understand what just happened. To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, to lose one leader may be regarded as a misfortune; to lose two looks like carelessness.

Something strange is going on in Scottish politics and in the SNP. Once upon a time, Alex Neil was a fundamentalist who demanded independence without delay and Nicola Sturgeon was the gradualist. The roles are now reversed, and Nicola Sturgeon has gone from arch-gradualist to neo-fundamentalist in just two years.

Nicola Sturgeon’s carelessness is not just harming the SNP; it is harming the economy, too. Official figures show that Scotland is on the brink of a recession. Ernst & Young reports that the Scottish economy is

“stuck in the slow lane”.

The EY Scottish ITEM club has predicted “below par” GDP growth of 0.9 per cent in 2017, which is half that expected for the UK.

Our economy is set to lag behind that of the UK, with consumer and company confidence falling. The employment level in Scotland is forecast to fall this year. It is expected to drop by 0.1 per cent in 2017, followed by further decreases of 0.5 per cent and 0.3 per cent in the following two years. Consumer spending is to rise by just 1 per cent in 2017 and by less than 1 per cent from 2018 through to 2020. That compares with an average annual rate of 2.3 per cent over the past five years.

Scotland today is set to be behind. Brexit affects us all, but independence plans and the Government’s failure to perform and deliver are hitting us, too. The SNP Government should abandon its plans for independence and focus on what it was elected to do.

Liberal Democrats have big plans to invest in our people, through education and mental health services. We have plans for a close relationship with Europe to boost trade and jobs. We have plans that will open up and advance our country—not close it off and hold it back.

I move amendment S5M-06045.2, to leave out from “welcomes the fact” to end and insert:

“however, recognises that official figures show Scotland on the brink of a recession while Ernst and Young reports that the Scottish economy is ‘stuck in the slow lane’; believes that repeated warnings about the fragility of the economy and business confidence have been dismissed; recognises and acknowledges the challenges facing Scotland’s economy, including the threat of another divisive independence referendum, a hard Brexit and skills shortages, and believes that a long-term plan to build a strong economy must include the removal of the threat of a referendum on Scottish independence and avoiding a hard Brexit, combined with transformative additional investment in education and a step-change in mental health to help people achieve their potential and enable businesses to find the skills they need.”

15:26  
References in this contribution

Motions, questions or amendments mentioned by their reference code.

In the same item of business

The Presiding Officer (Ken Macintosh) NPA
The next item of business is a debate on motion S5M-06045, in the name of Keith Brown, on Scotland’s economy, opportunities for growth. 14:41
The Cabinet Secretary for Economy, Jobs and Fair Work (Keith Brown) SNP
I am grateful for the opportunity to set out to the Parliament Scotland’s economic strengths, our resilience to the economic challenges that we undoubtedly f...
Dean Lockhart (Mid Scotland and Fife) (Con) Con
We, too, welcome the fall in unemployment that has been announced today. However, like the Scottish Chambers of Commerce, we are concerned about the fact tha...
Keith Brown SNP
I am happy to do so. The member will find that much of the explanation lies in the number of students who are going into higher education, who are, of course...
Murdo Fraser (Mid Scotland and Fife) (Con) Con
The rate is going down.
Keith Brown SNP
It is 4.6 per cent, which is the same as it was in the previous quarter. I know that it is disappointing to the Conservatives and the Labour Party that the ...
Murdo Fraser Con
I think that we all agree that we want to see more growth in the Scottish economy. When will the Scottish Government publish some results from its growth com...
Keith Brown SNP
That commission is not related to the Government. It is not part of the Government, so we do not report on it to the Parliament. I know that Murdo Fraser kno...
Willie Rennie (North East Fife) (LD) LD
Will the cabinet secretary give way?
Keith Brown SNP
I am sorry, but I do not have much time left. Will the Conservatives guarantee that money if they are successful in dragging Scotland out of the EU and the ...
Willie Rennie LD
Today, the First Minister has written to the Prime Minister about Europe, saying that her platform on the European single market did not “garner support” and...
Keith Brown SNP
I have not mentioned independence in today’s debate, yet Willie Rennie, who is utterly obsessed with it, has once again sought to hoover it into the debate. ...
Dean Lockhart (Mid Scotland and Fife) (Con) Con
The Government has today presented a wide-ranging motion on the economy, which is a subject that it was curiously silent on before the election. Nonetheless,...
Gillian Martin (Aberdeenshire East) (SNP) SNP
I am interested to know the member’s feelings about the post-study work visa. The issues with that are stopping us recruiting people from other parts of the ...
Dean Lockhart Con
We recognise that that is an issue, and it will be involved in the Brexit negotiations. I will address the areas in which stakeholders across Scotland have ...
Stuart McMillan (Greenock and Inverclyde) (SNP) SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Dean Lockhart Con
Let me make a bit of progress; I will take an intervention later. The UK Government has appointed two fintech envoys to explore how Scotland can capitalise ...
John Mason (Glasgow Shettleston) (SNP) SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Dean Lockhart Con
Not right now; let me just finish this point. Stakeholders are also calling for a more competitive tax system in Scotland. Thirteen leading business organis...
John Mason SNP
I thank the member for giving way; I think that it was to me rather than to Ms Martin. Dean Lockhart talked about a competitive tax rate, by which I think h...
Dean Lockhart Con
I do not have time to go into the Laffer curve right now. However, we just need to look at the high streets across Scotland to see that the large business su...
Dean Lockhart Con
Not now. It is time for the SNP to remove the uncertainty of a second independence referendum and to get on with the day job. I move amendment S5M-06045.1,...
Jackie Baillie (Dumbarton) (Lab) Lab
Complacency and denial are the twin problems facing the SNP in relation to the economy: complacency on the state of the economy and denial over a second inde...
Jackie Baillie Lab
—in a minute—and the rest of us think that she had a calamitous election. Dropping from 50 per cent of the vote to 36 per cent is part of a pattern of declin...
Keith Brown SNP
On the question of last week’s election, as long as the Scottish Labour Party is content to be third—with the worst result that it has had since 1918—we will...
The Deputy Presiding Officer (Christine Grahame) SNP
There is time in hand, Ms Baillie, so I will give you the time back. You do not need to worry about whether an intervention is a speech—that is for me to dec...
Jackie Baillie Lab
Thank you very much, Presiding Officer. I am always in your good hands. I say to the SNP that its priorities are entirely wrong. Frankly, anybody who can de...
John Mason SNP
Will the member give way?
Jackie Baillie Lab
No—I do not have time. Our economy has lost out on money and jobs as a result of the SNP’s mismanagement. If we look at the growth sectors that our enterpri...
The Deputy Presiding Officer SNP
No, I have given you extra time. Please move your amendment.