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Chamber

Meeting of the Parliament 01 April 2015

01 Apr 2015 · S4 · Meeting of the Parliament
Item of business
Economy and Finances

Over the past few weeks, SNP members have demonstrated just how untrustworthy they are with figures. First, they deny the black hole at the heart of Scotland’s finances; then they fiddle the figures to make the position seem even better; and then they deny what the independent experts are saying and hide their plans for continued austerity. One thing is absolutely clear: honesty and transparency have been posted missing with this SNP Government.

Like others in the chamber, we believe that the SNP Government needs to publish an oil and gas analytical bulletin—one made a brief appearance prior to the referendum—and an updated outlook for Scotland’s public finances that takes account of the recent projections. It should publish both before May 2015 so that people can judge whether it has something to hide.

I move, amendment S4M-12857.1, to leave out from “that the Scottish Government” to end and insert:

“that the Scottish Government’s plans for full fiscal autonomy within the UK would have instant and damaging consequences for Scotland’s economy, with huge funding cuts to areas such as health, education and policing totalling £7.6 billion in additional cuts or tax rises, as confirmed by the Institute for Fiscal Studies; further notes that this would be on top of Conservative austerity plans and that the Scottish Government has set out its intention to adopt Conservative austerity plans in 2015-16; calls on the Scottish Government to publish an updated Outlook for Scotland’s Public Finances on the basis of full fiscal autonomy and an updated oil and gas analytical bulletin before the UK General Election in May 2015, and believes that the only way to avert a £7.6 billion deficit would be to reject full fiscal autonomy within the UK in favour of keeping the block grant and the Barnett formula.”

References in this contribution

Motions, questions or amendments mentioned by their reference code.

In the same item of business

The Deputy Presiding Officer (Elaine Smith) Lab
The next item of business is a debate on motion S4M-12857, in the name of Gavin Brown, on Scotland’s economy and finances. 14:40
Gavin Brown (Lothian) (Con) Con
The Scottish Conservatives want to have a focused and analytical debate on the subject, specifically on the issue of full fiscal autonomy and the likely effe...
John Mason (Glasgow Shettleston) (SNP) SNP
I wonder whether the member accepts the principle that the Scottish Government and the SNP want both more powers for Scotland and the best possible deal for ...
Gavin Brown Con
I am not sure whether Mr Mason simply does not understand the arithmetic or whether that is actually an admission from Mr Mason, who is a straightforward cha...
Mike MacKenzie (Highlands and Islands) (SNP) SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Gavin Brown Con
Perhaps we are about to get the answer to my question from Mr MacKenzie.
Mike MacKenzie SNP
I wonder whether the IFS calculation that the member has laid out has taken into account the potential outcomes of the forthcoming UK election and how it has...
Gavin Brown Con
The IFS figure is based on the projections set out by the UK Government at the time of the March budget, so no—the IFS figure does not take into account what...
Chic Brodie (South Scotland) (SNP) SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Gavin Brown Con
Not at the moment, Mr Brodie. We see from Fiscal Affairs Scotland, another expert group, figures for 2019-20. I have given members the likely figure for 201...
Chic Brodie SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Gavin Brown Con
If we look at the projections for next year’s GERS figures, we see that that is not true. Not a single independent respected economist or forecaster on the p...
Chic Brodie SNP
A man of great thought. Mr Brown goes on about the numbers. Can he explain why, under the country and regional analysis adjustments in 2012-13, which fed th...
Gavin Brown Con
I am not quite sure whether that was Chic Brodie playing sudoku with a few numbers. It was probably nothing much more than that. In all seriousness, the Sco...
The Deputy First Minister and Cabinet Secretary for Finance, Constitution and Economy (John Swinney) SNP
Scotland requires the social and economic powers that are necessary to reflect the people of Scotland’s needs and preferences and to enable the people of Sco...
Murdo Fraser (Mid Scotland and Fife) (Con) Con
Will the cabinet secretary give way?
John Swinney SNP
If Mr Fraser allows me to make a bit of progress, I will give way in a second. In considering those issues and making our case, I should point out that we a...
Gavin Brown Con
Will the cabinet secretary give way?
John Swinney SNP
I will give way to Mr Brown, and I remember that I promised to give way to Mr Fraser, too.
Gavin Brown Con
I certainly do not think that we are incapable of doing what the cabinet secretary has suggested, but I do think that the Scottish Government should be candi...
John Swinney SNP
That was not the inference that I took from Mr Brown’s speech. With the full policy levers of independence, we could improve on the performance that we have ...
Murdo Fraser Con
The question that I wished to ask the cabinet secretary is this: if he is right in his analysis and if he is right in saying that the Scottish Government is ...
John Swinney SNP
I will come on to address how that will come about, but first I want to go through some of the implications of different responsibilities being exercised in ...
Jackie Baillie (Dumbarton) (Lab) Lab
The IFS also said that there would be a £7.6 billion gap. If we take the assumptions about the country’s economic performance that are made in the Government...
John Swinney SNP
Jackie Baillie passes by the caveat that the IFS included, which is that the economy’s performance can be influenced as a consequence of exercising the respo...
Gavin Brown Con
I am grateful to the cabinet secretary for giving way for a second time. In his view, the correct timescale for independence was 18 months. In his view, what...
The Deputy Presiding Officer Lab
You are in your final minute, cabinet secretary.
John Swinney SNP
Thank you, Presiding Officer. The timescale would inevitably be a product of negotiation with the UK Government. I can set out my view all I want, but I mus...
Jackie Baillie Lab
The cabinet secretary will hear from the Labour Party.
The Deputy Presiding Officer Lab
Order, please. The cabinet secretary is closing. We must hear him.