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Chamber

Meeting of the Parliament 01 April 2015

01 Apr 2015 · S4 · Meeting of the Parliament
Item of business
Economy and Finances
Swinney, John SNP Perthshire North Watch on SPTV

I will come on to address how that will come about, but first I want to go through some of the implications of different responsibilities being exercised in Scotland since the Government came to power in 2007.

We have managed to increase the value of Scottish international exports by 40 per cent; business research and development spending has increased by 29 per cent; and the Scottish productivity rate has gone from being 6 per cent lower than the UK rate in 2007 to sitting at around the same level as UK productivity. I therefore dispute the dismal assessment that is put forward by those who say that we cannot possibly exercise distinctive responsibilities to create better economic performance. Despite everything that was said during the referendum campaign about no one wanting to invest in Scotland, we have been ranked the first or second most attractive part of the UK for inward investment in every year since 2006.

As well as enabling us to tailor economic policy to encourage investment in job creation, full fiscal autonomy would ensure that decisions about the level and composition of taxation and public spending in Scotland reflected the needs and preferences of the people and businesses of Scotland. That point is important, because fiscal autonomy would enable us to take a different course of action.

Mr Brown cited a variety of numbers, but all the analysis that he mentioned does not take into account the potential benefits of fiscal autonomy. He cited the Institute for Fiscal Studies, which said on 11 March:

“full fiscal autonomy would give more freedom to pursue different, and perhaps better fiscal policy, and to undertake the radical, politically challenging reforms that could generate additional growth. There are undoubtedly areas where existing UK policy could be improved upon.”

That rather makes my point for me. In a nutshell, that is what fiscal autonomy would give us an opportunity to do. It would enable us to take decisions that built on the economic record that I set out a moment ago to deliver a stronger economic performance.

In the same item of business

The Deputy Presiding Officer (Elaine Smith) Lab
The next item of business is a debate on motion S4M-12857, in the name of Gavin Brown, on Scotland’s economy and finances. 14:40
Gavin Brown (Lothian) (Con) Con
The Scottish Conservatives want to have a focused and analytical debate on the subject, specifically on the issue of full fiscal autonomy and the likely effe...
John Mason (Glasgow Shettleston) (SNP) SNP
I wonder whether the member accepts the principle that the Scottish Government and the SNP want both more powers for Scotland and the best possible deal for ...
Gavin Brown Con
I am not sure whether Mr Mason simply does not understand the arithmetic or whether that is actually an admission from Mr Mason, who is a straightforward cha...
Mike MacKenzie (Highlands and Islands) (SNP) SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Gavin Brown Con
Perhaps we are about to get the answer to my question from Mr MacKenzie.
Mike MacKenzie SNP
I wonder whether the IFS calculation that the member has laid out has taken into account the potential outcomes of the forthcoming UK election and how it has...
Gavin Brown Con
The IFS figure is based on the projections set out by the UK Government at the time of the March budget, so no—the IFS figure does not take into account what...
Chic Brodie (South Scotland) (SNP) SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Gavin Brown Con
Not at the moment, Mr Brodie. We see from Fiscal Affairs Scotland, another expert group, figures for 2019-20. I have given members the likely figure for 201...
Chic Brodie SNP
Will the member take an intervention?
Gavin Brown Con
If we look at the projections for next year’s GERS figures, we see that that is not true. Not a single independent respected economist or forecaster on the p...
Chic Brodie SNP
A man of great thought. Mr Brown goes on about the numbers. Can he explain why, under the country and regional analysis adjustments in 2012-13, which fed th...
Gavin Brown Con
I am not quite sure whether that was Chic Brodie playing sudoku with a few numbers. It was probably nothing much more than that. In all seriousness, the Sco...
The Deputy First Minister and Cabinet Secretary for Finance, Constitution and Economy (John Swinney) SNP
Scotland requires the social and economic powers that are necessary to reflect the people of Scotland’s needs and preferences and to enable the people of Sco...
Murdo Fraser (Mid Scotland and Fife) (Con) Con
Will the cabinet secretary give way?
John Swinney SNP
If Mr Fraser allows me to make a bit of progress, I will give way in a second. In considering those issues and making our case, I should point out that we a...
Gavin Brown Con
Will the cabinet secretary give way?
John Swinney SNP
I will give way to Mr Brown, and I remember that I promised to give way to Mr Fraser, too.
Gavin Brown Con
I certainly do not think that we are incapable of doing what the cabinet secretary has suggested, but I do think that the Scottish Government should be candi...
John Swinney SNP
That was not the inference that I took from Mr Brown’s speech. With the full policy levers of independence, we could improve on the performance that we have ...
Murdo Fraser Con
The question that I wished to ask the cabinet secretary is this: if he is right in his analysis and if he is right in saying that the Scottish Government is ...
John Swinney SNP
I will come on to address how that will come about, but first I want to go through some of the implications of different responsibilities being exercised in ...
Jackie Baillie (Dumbarton) (Lab) Lab
The IFS also said that there would be a £7.6 billion gap. If we take the assumptions about the country’s economic performance that are made in the Government...
John Swinney SNP
Jackie Baillie passes by the caveat that the IFS included, which is that the economy’s performance can be influenced as a consequence of exercising the respo...
Gavin Brown Con
I am grateful to the cabinet secretary for giving way for a second time. In his view, the correct timescale for independence was 18 months. In his view, what...
The Deputy Presiding Officer Lab
You are in your final minute, cabinet secretary.
John Swinney SNP
Thank you, Presiding Officer. The timescale would inevitably be a product of negotiation with the UK Government. I can set out my view all I want, but I mus...
Jackie Baillie Lab
The cabinet secretary will hear from the Labour Party.
The Deputy Presiding Officer Lab
Order, please. The cabinet secretary is closing. We must hear him.